Wednesday, April 4, 2007

Idol by the numbers--

The people at this site have been tracking "Who would you send home?" since the idols were reduced to 24. Except for Sanjaya (which rhymes with papaya) anyone who scores more than about 6% on this scale is in real trouble.

So this week, the folks who vote in this poll would choose the same three as me for the bottom three: Sanjaya at 52%, Phil at 22% and Haley at 16%. People's perception of Sanjaya is either improving or people are seeing his advancement as inevitable. Either way, he has achieved his best (lowest) score to date.

This voting block would send Phil home, and they are usually right. If there is a surprise tonight it will be that Sanjaya's 15 minutes are up or that Chris's performance- which was not as good in my mind as it was for the judges- is not enough to keep people interested- or that Blake's performance wasn't strong enough to overcome going first.

More bad news for Phil can be found at this site . This site asks people to rank the nine remaining contestants in order from nine to one. They then calculate the top three picks for each placement. Phil does not appear in any ranking. I would interpret that to mean that people do not feel strongly about him one way or the other. That's bad in a voting competition- "Phil who?" Jordin has this same problem but has, at the same time, developed a small base and gotten positives from the judges.

If any of the bottom three go home this week, they deserve it. I want to see Sanjaya survive (for my own reasons) for one more week. Besides, it is a bit fun to watch a train wreck from week to week and he is the only one left.

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